🧭Interactive Tool

Assumption Mapper

List your product assumptions, score them by risk and uncertainty, and get a prioritized test plan. Stop building on guesses.

How Assumption Mapping Works

1

List Assumptions

What are you assuming about value, usability, feasibility, or viability?

2

Score Each One

Rate risk (impact if wrong) and uncertainty (how confident you are).

3

Map on a Matrix

See which assumptions fall into Test Now, Monitor, Note, or Park.

4

Get a Test Plan

Receive suggested validation methods for your riskiest assumptions.

Priority Score=Risk×Uncertainty(higher = test first)

Add an Assumption

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Your Assumptions (3)

Users will pay for this featureViability
Risk: 4/5Uncertainty: 4/5Test Now
Users can complete the core flow without helpUsability
Risk: 3/5Uncertainty: 3/5Test Now
Our API can handle the expected loadFeasibility
Risk: 3/5Uncertainty: 2/5Monitor

Assumption Matrix

RISK IF WRONG →
UNCERTAINTY →
Monitor
Test Now
Park
Note
Test Now (2)
Monitor (1)
Note (0)
Park (0)

Prioritized Assumptions

Test Now

High risk + high uncertainty. Validate these first.

2
Users will pay for this featureViability
Risk: 4/5Uncertainty: 4/5Priority Score: 16

Suggested validation: Validate the business model and market positioning.

Pricing testCompetitive analysisMarket researchFinancial modelingWillingness-to-pay survey
Users can complete the core flow without helpUsability
Risk: 3/5Uncertainty: 3/5Priority Score: 9

Suggested validation: Put a prototype in front of users and watch them use it.

Prototype testingUsability studyCard sortingWizard of Oz testA/B test

Monitor

High risk but you have some confidence. Keep an eye on these.

1
Our API can handle the expected loadFeasibility
Risk: 3/5Uncertainty: 2/5Priority Score: 6

Keep watching: Set up tracking for this assumption. If uncertainty increases, move it to Test Now.

Test Plan

You have 2 assumptions that need immediate validation. Here is your recommended testing order, prioritized by combined risk and uncertainty score.

1

Users will pay for this feature

Viability assumption. Priority Score: 16.

Start with:Pricing testorCompetitive analysis
2

Users can complete the core flow without help

Usability assumption. Priority Score: 9.

Start with:Prototype testingorUsability study
3
Total Assumptions
2
Need Testing
1
Monitor
0
Low Priority

Save Your Assumption Map

Get a copy of your prioritized assumptions and test plan.

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